Making Policies Matter: Voter Responses to Campaign Promises
通过结构模型和菲律宾市长选举的实地实验，研究发现向选民传递候选人政策承诺信息能促使他们更支持与自己偏好一致的候选人，并奖励兑现承诺的现任者。
Abstract Can voters in clientelist countries be swayed by programmatic promises? Results from a structural model and a field experiment disseminating candidate policy platforms in Philippine mayoral elections indicate that they can. Voters who received information about candidate policy promises were more likely to vote for candidates who were closer to their own preferences. Voters who were informed about incumbent candidates’ past commitments were more likely to vote for incumbents who fulfilled them. The structural model uncovers mechanisms. Information about campaign promises increases policies’ salience relative to other voter concerns; it also affects voter beliefs about candidate quality and candidates’ platforms.