疫情对消费者行为的初步影响:来自收入、支出和储蓄关联数据的证据

Initial Impacts of the Pandemic on Consumer Behavior: Evidence from Linked Income, Spending, and Savings Data

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity · 2020
被引 130 · 同刊同年前 5%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

利用美国家庭银行账户数据,研究发现疫情初期各收入阶层均削减支出,但低收入家庭支出反弹最快,且其流动资产增长显著,表明刺激和保险计划缓解了劳动力市场冲击对消费的影响。

Abstract

We use U.S. household-level bank account data to investigate the heterogeneous effects of the pandemic on spending and savings. Households across the income distribution all cut spending from March to early April. Since mid April, spending has rebounded most rapidly for low-income households. We find large increases in liquid asset balances for households throughout the income distribution. However, lower-income households contribute disproportionately to the aggregate increase in balances, relative to their pre-pandemic shares. Taken together, our results suggest that spending declines in the initial months of the recession were primarily caused by direct effects of the pandemic, rather than resulting from labor market disruptions. The sizable growth in liquid assets we observe for low-income households suggests that stimulus and insurance programs during this period likely played an important role in limiting the effects of labor market disruptions on spending.

新冠疫情消费者行为家庭储蓄收入异质性