苏联与俄罗斯的增长核算,1950-2012

Accounting for growth in the USSR and Russia, 1950–2012

Journal of Economic Surveys · 2021
被引 16
人大 AABS 2

中文导读

利用新历史统计数据和俄罗斯KLEMS数据,重新核算苏联和俄罗斯的经济增长来源,发现全要素生产率在转型前后都是劳动生产率增长的主要驱动力,而资本质量的影响在计划经济与市场经济时期存在差异。

Abstract

Abstract Why did the Soviet economy slowdown in last decades before its collapse? How did the proximate sources of economic growth of Russia change after the transition from a planned to a market economy? Previous research has suggested inputs‐driven growth before the transition and total factor productivity (TFP) as its main driver afterwards. This paper presents a new growth accounting exercise for Russia and Russian industry, using new historical statistics and Russia KLEMS data for capital, the historical series of Russian gross domestic product (GDP) from the Hitotsubashi Asian Historical Statistics Project, and alternative measures of capital inputs. In contrast with previous studies, this paper shows that in Russia TFP was the main determinant of labor productivity performance before and after the transition. The contribution of capital intensity was relatively stable in both periods. For Russian industry, the difference between the planned and market economy periods appears in the impact of capital quality. Before the transition, growth structures overbore machinery, deteriorating capital quality and labor productivity growth, while in 1999–2008, the dominating contribution of machinery fueled growth. Finally, the paper shows that the transformational recession of 1990s can be partially explained by the fall of capital services.

苏联经济增长核算全要素生产率资本质量转型衰退