第二次世界大战、婴儿潮与就业:县级证据

World War II, the Baby Boom, and Employment: County-Level Evidence

Journal of Labor Economics · 2021
被引 26
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

利用美国县级阵亡人数数据,采用双重差分法,发现二战中男性阵亡率高的县战后生育率上升幅度较小,而女性就业率和家庭收入更高。

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of male casualties due to World War II on fertility and female employment in the United States. We rely on the number of casualties at the county level and use a difference-in-differences strategy. While most counties in the United States experienced a baby boom following the war, we find that the increase in fertility was lower in high-casualty-rate counties than in low-casualty-rate counties. Analyzing the channels through which male casualties could have decreased fertility, we provide evidence that county male casualties are positively related to 1950s female employment and household income.

二战伤亡率婴儿潮女性就业县级证据