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与新冠病例的距离和房地产股票收益

Proximity to Covid-19 Cases and Real Estate Equity Returns

Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics · 2024
被引 9 · 同刊同年前 10%
ABS 3

中文导读

利用香港每日公布的新冠病例位置数据,研究发现距离感染点0.1英里内的房地产公司股票日收益率在消息公布后一天显著下降0.23%,且溢出效应可达两英里,小公司受影响更大。

Abstract

Abstract We conduct a quasi-natural experiment for Hong Kong to explore the spatial effects associated with proximity to Covid-19 infections on real estate equity performance. During the first months of the pandemic, Hong Kong reported daily roadmaps of Covid-19 cases. We use these to match with the locations of properties held by real estate companies. Using a difference-in-differences spatial discontinuity model, we find that real estate firms which own a property within 0.1 miles from an infectious site are associated with 0.23% significantly lower daily returns one day after the news. We find evidence for spillover effects for up to two miles from the Covid-19 case, and more pronounced effects on small firms. The paper provides novel findings about the spatial effects of Covid-19 news on stock markets.

房地产金融新冠疫情空间经济学事件研究