基于广义Hodrick-Prescott滤波器的含缺失观测经济时间序列趋势提取

TREND EXTRACTION FROM ECONOMIC TIME SERIES WITH MISSING OBSERVATIONS BY GENERALIZED HODRICK–PRESCOTT FILTERS

Econometric Theory · 2021
被引 8
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

改进了Hodrick-Prescott滤波器,使其能处理含有缺失观测的经济时间序列,提出了两种广义版本并推荐其中一种用于实际研究。

Abstract

The Hodrick–Prescott (HP) filter has been a popular method of trend extraction from economic time series. However, it is impractical without modification if some observations are not available. This paper improves the HP filter so that it can be applied in such situations. More precisely, this paper introduces two alternative generalized HP filters that are applicable for this purpose. We provide their properties and a way of specifying those smoothing parameters that are required for their application. In addition, we numerically examine their performance. Finally, based on our analysis, we recommend one of them for applied studies.

缺失观测趋势提取广义HP滤波