重复大规模抗原检测对COVID-19患病率的影响

The impact of repeated mass antigen testing for COVID-19 on the prevalence of the disease

Journal of Population Economics · 2021
被引 28
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

利用斯洛伐克2020年秋季全国快速抗原检测数据,研究发现重复大规模检测结合阳性病例及其接触者隔离,能暂时减少新感染人数,但需定期复检以维持效果。

Abstract

In the absence of effective vaccination, mass testing and quarantining of positive cases and their contacts could help to mitigate pandemics and allow economies to stay open. We investigate the effects of repeated mass testing on the COVID-19 pandemic caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, using data from the first ever nationwide rapid antigen testing implemented in Slovakia in autumn 2020. After the first round of testing, only districts above an ex ante unknown threshold of test positivity were re-tested. Comparing districts above and below the threshold, we provide evidence that repeated mass antigen testing can temporarily reduce the number of new infections. Our results suggest that mass testing coupled with the quarantining of positive cases and their contacts could be an effective tool in mitigating pandemics. For lasting effects, re-testing at regular intervals would likely be necessary.

重复大规模抗原检测COVID-19患病率斯洛伐克