V4国家能源消费与经济增长之间的因果关系

CAUSALITY BETWEEN ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE V4 COUNTRIES

Technological and Economic Development of Economy · 2021
被引 34
人大 A-

中文导读

研究了2005至2019年V4国家(波兰、捷克、匈牙利、斯洛伐克)能源消费与GDP之间的长期关系,发现除波兰外,能源消费是经济增长的格兰杰原因。

Abstract

Energy plays an important role in economic development. This paper deals with the long-run relationship between energy consumption and real GDP for V4 countries from 2005 to 2019. The analysis was based on the unit root tests, co-integration tests, and causality tests. There are two questions. The first question is if energy consumption the stimulus to GDP, resp. energy consumption causes GDP. And the second question is if GDP the stimulus for energy consumption, resp. GDP causes consumption of energy. Energy consumption has an essential role in the economy on both the demand and the supply. It means that there should be a causal relationship from energy consumption to GDP as well as vice versa. Given that in the long run the energy consumption Granger causes the GDP in Slovakia, Hungary, and the Czech Republic, it means that energy consumption could cause economic growth in these countries. The only country where no significant relationship between energy consumption and the GDP has been demonstrated in Poland.

能源消费与经济增长因果关系V4国家格兰杰因果检验