没有泰勒原理的确定性

Determinacy without the Taylor Principle

Journal of Political Economy · 2023
被引 25
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究发现,社会记忆和跨期协调中的微小摩擦可以消除货币政策中的多重均衡问题,使唯一均衡与泰勒原理所选一致,但不再依赖该原理。

Abstract

Our understanding of monetary policy is complicated by an indeterminacy problem: the same path for the nominal interest rate is consistent with multiple equilibrium paths for inflation and output. We offer a potential resolution by showing that small frictions in social memory and intertemporal coordination can remove this indeterminacy. Under our perturbations, the unique equilibrium is the same as that selected by the Taylor principle, but it no more relies on it; monetary policy is left to play only a stabilization role; and fiscal policy needs to be Ricardian even when monetary policy is passive.

社会记忆摩擦跨期协调均衡确定性泰勒原理