利用观测数据检验未观测到的异质性处理效应

TESTING FOR UNOBSERVED HETEROGENEOUS TREATMENT EFFECTS WITH OBSERVATIONAL DATA

Econometric Theory · 2022
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

提出一种非参数检验方法,用于判断处理效应模型中是否存在未观测到的异质性,适用于个体自选择处理的情况,并通过蒙特卡洛模拟和两个实际应用验证了方法的有效性。

Abstract

Unobserved heterogeneous treatment effects have been emphasized in the recent policy evaluation literature (see, e.g., Heckman and Vytlacil (2005, Econometrica 73, 669–738)). This paper proposes a nonparametric test for unobserved heterogeneous treatment effects in a treatment effect model with a binary treatment assignment, allowing for individuals’ self-selection to the treatment. Under the standard local average treatment effects assumptions, i.e., the no defiers condition, we derive testable model restrictions for the hypothesis of unobserved heterogeneous treatment effects. Furthermore, we show that if the treatment outcomes satisfy a monotonicity assumption, these model restrictions are also sufficient. Then, we propose a modified Kolmogorov–Smirnov-type test which is consistent and simple to implement. Monte Carlo simulations show that our test performs well in finite samples. For illustration, we apply our test to study heterogeneous treatment effects of the Job Training Partnership Act on earnings and the impacts of fertility on family income, where the null hypothesis of homogeneous treatment effects gets rejected in the second case but fails to be rejected in the first application.

非参数检验异质性处理效应局部平均处理效应工具变量