从摇篮到坟墓?最优核废料处置研究

From cradle to grave? On optimal nuclear waste disposal

Energy Economics · 2021
被引 9
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

分析了核电站运营和核废料管理的社会最优方案,推导出最优停产和废料处置时机,并评估了多种监管选项,发现仅当利率极低时深地质处置才成本最优。

Abstract

This paper analyses socially optimal nuclear plant operation and nuclear waste management. Two waiting rules are derived: the first characterizes the optimal continuation of electricity production, and the second gives the optimal nuclear waste disposal date. Both rules balance the cost and benefit of either continuing production or delaying waste disposal into a deep geological repository. In addition, multiple regulatory options are investigated. The optimized waste storage and disposal cost forms the payment that should be collected from the nuclear power firm into a nuclear waste fund. The properties of this payment and other regulatory options including a tax to be paid at the shutdown date of the plant are investigated, and it is shown that the money can be collected by a plant-specific constant fee targeted at firm’s profit or output. Numerical illustration shows that waste disposal to a deep geological repository is a cost-minimizing solution only with very low interest rates. For interest rates above one percent it is optimal to store the waste in an on-ground storage facility in perpetuity.

核废料处置核电站运营最优停时监管政策