近期涉及不当行为的运行事件分析:影响因素与根本原因

Analysis of recent operational events involving inappropriate actions: influencing factors and root causes

Reliability Engineering and System Safety · 2021
被引 13
ABS 3

中文导读

本文应用CESA-Q方法分析了2000-2016年间14起运行事件中不当决策的影响因素,发现信息可用性(如规程、界面、培训)是主要触发条件,验证了该框架对真实事件中不当决策情境的适用性。

Abstract

The Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) of inappropriate actions (Errors Of Commission, EOCs) still suffers from technical gaps, especially for actions with decision-related motivations. Traditional, factor-based HRA methods often fail to address these motivations. Holistic analyses frameworks have been developed (namely, ATHEANA and MERMOS), but these rely on strong analyst expertise and require large efforts to make analyses traceable. This paper presents the application of the factor framework underlying the quantification module of the Commission Error Search and Assessment (CESA-Q) method. The framework is applied to fourteen operational events from the period 2000–2016, not used for the factor framework development. This gives the chance to confirm the validity of the CESA-Q factor framework to represent adequately the diverse situations influencing inappropriate decisions in real operational events. In the majority of the events, the triggering condition for the inappropriate decision is the information available to the operators, typically the procedural guidance, Human-Machine Interface, experience and training. In these cases, the dominant influencing factors (positively and negatively) identified through the CESA-Q analysis relate to verification of appropriateness of the decision. For another set of events, the inappropriate decision was driven by the prospect of other benefits (e.g. simplifying the plant control).

人因可靠性分析运行事件分析决策失误人机交互