The Effects of Parental and Sibling Incarceration: Evidence from Ohio
利用俄亥俄州30年行政数据和随机法官的监禁倾向差异，首次在美国准实验估计了父母和兄弟姐妹监禁的影响，发现父母监禁使子女未来监禁概率降低4.9个百分点并改善成年社区质量。
Every year, millions of Americans experience the incarceration of a family member. Using 30 years of administrative data from Ohio and exploiting differing incarceration propensities of randomly assigned judges, this paper provides the first quasi-experimental estimates of the effects of parental and sibling incarceration in the United States. Parental incarceration has beneficial effects on some important outcomes for children, reducing their likelihood of incarceration by 4.9 percentage points and improving their adult neighborhood quality. While estimates on academic performance and teen parenthood are imprecise, we reject large positive or negative effects. Sibling incarceration leads to similar reductions in criminal activity.