技术变革与就业之间的复合联系:文献综述

The composite link between technological change and employment: A survey of the literature

Journal of Economic Surveys · 2021
被引 111 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 AABS 2

中文导读

这篇综述批判性地梳理了关于技术进步对就业影响的广泛文献,讨论了主要理论和模型,并特别关注了自动化技术(如机器人)和人工智能对就业的影响。

Abstract

Abstract The role played by technological change in employment trends has long been debated and investigated, but the evidence has proven to be inconclusive. This paper aims to shed light on this topic by critically reviewing a broad and heterogeneous body of literature on the employment implications of technical progress. To this purpose, it briefly discusses the main theories and models that underpin the empirical analysis and reviews the literature following two main criteria, namely, the proxy for technological change and the level of analysis. It also accounts for the effect of technical progress on both overall employment and on distinct occupational, educational and demographic groups. Particular attention is devoted to the results of some very recent studies that attempt to unfold the impact of complex automation technologies, especially robots, and to provide a preliminary account of the evolution, distribution, challenges and potential of Artificial Intelligence.

技术变革就业自动化人工智能