Racing With or Against the Machine? Evidence on the Role of Trade in Europe
研究了1999-2010年间欧洲常规任务替代型技术变革对就业的总体影响，发现技术虽替代了部分劳动，但通过产品需求增长创造了新岗位，净效应为就业增长，且贸易在其中发挥重要作用。
Abstract Digital technologies displace labor from routine tasks, raising concerns that labor is racing against the machine. We develop an empirically tractable task-based framework to estimate the aggregate employment effects of routine-replacing technological change (RRTC), along with the labor and product demand channels through which this aggregate effect comes about, focusing on the role of inter-regional trade. While RRTC has indeed had strong displacement effects in Europe between 1999 and 2010, it has simultaneously created new jobs through increased product demand, resulting in net employment growth. However, the distribution of gains from technological progress matters for its job-creating potential.