Modelling and projecting digital trends in European regions: an econometric framework
研究了99个欧洲NUTS-2区域家庭和个人层面数字变量的差异驱动因素，发现经济和人口协变量是稳健预测因子，预测宽带和互联网使用的历史收敛趋势将持续，但国际电子商务和电子政务的数字鸿沟短期内不会消失。
Our modelling strategy assesses model uncertainty explicitly and aims to identify the main drivers of differences in digital variables at the household and individual levels in 99 European NUTS-2 regions. Several economic and demographic covariates are found to be robust predictors of these variables. Our benchmark projection results indicate that historical convergence trends in variables related to the access to digital technologies (broadband and internet use) are expected to continue, but that in the absence of particular policy impulses, the digital divide existing in Europe for international e-commerce and e-government interactions is not expected to disappear in the coming years.