选择的自由:现金转移限制的理论与准实验证据

The freedom to choose: Theory and quasi-experimental evidence on cash transfer restrictions

Journal of Development Economics · 2022
被引 34
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

通过肯尼亚难民营的自然实验,发现限制现金转移只能购买食品会促使黑市交易、降低非食品支出和主观福利,对食品消费无显著影响,建议政策制定者避免此类限制。

Abstract

Should cash transfer programmes restrict consumer choice? For example, should food assistance delivered in cash be restricted to food and exclude temptation goods? Theoretically, restrictions induce (1) a substitution effect away from restricted goods and (2) a negative wealth effect if transfers are extra-marginal and the resale of goods is costly. The welfare impact on transfer recipients is negative. We test these predictions by exploiting a natural experiment in a refugee settlement in Kenya, where some refugees receive monthly cash transfers restricted to food while others receive unrestricted transfers. In line with theory, we find that restricted transfers increase participation in a shadow resale market and negatively affect non-food expenditure, temptation-goods spending, and subjective well-being. Consistent with theory, restrictions have no significant effect on food consumption. Our results show that policy-makers should avoid restrictions to maximise positive impacts on transfer beneficiaries, especially when extreme poverty implies that transfers are extra-marginal.

现金转移限制替代效应财富效应影子转售市场