Commodity risk in European dairy firms
运用混合数据抽样分位数回归方法,研究欧洲乳制品企业面临的乳制品商品风险,发现黄油和牛奶的利润率对运营绩效影响显著。
Abstract We apply a multivariate mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) conditional quantile regression technique to understand the dairy commodity exposure of European dairy firms. Leveraging a theoretically sound hedonic dairy pricing framework, we show that our approach is able to identify both market and operational risk. Profit margins for butter and milk price are particularly important for operational performance. Additional tests are provided, including an application of MIDAS quantile on a period of amplified dairy market risk. Our approach thus allows dairy firms to gain new perspectives on the significant risks posed by the current structure of dairy production in Europe.