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用于检测俄亥俄州水力压裂废水处理井布局空间边界的离散核棍棒断裂模型

A Discrete Kernel Stick-Breaking Model for Detecting Spatial Boundaries in Hydraulic Fracturing Wastewater Disposal Well Placement Across Ohio

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics · 2021
被引 3
ABS 3

中文导读

提出一种新的离散核函数用于核棍棒断裂过程框架,能更好检测空间边界、估计回归参数和拟合模型,并应用于俄亥俄州县级水力压裂废水处理井数据,发现页岩上下的井数量与人口特征关系相反。

Abstract

Abstract Detecting sharp differences, or boundaries, in areal data can uncover important biological, physical and/or social differences between spatial regions. We introduce a new discrete areal data kernel function for use in the kernel stick-breaking process framework that is shown to yield improved (i) detection of spatial boundaries, (ii) estimation of regression parameters and (iii) model fit through a simulation study and comparison with existing approaches. We use the model to analyse county-level hydraulic fracturing Class II injection well counts in Ohio, where interesting boundary patterns may exist due to the close connection between hydraulic fracturing and shale rock formations. Class II injection wells are used for disposing hydraulic fracturing liquid waste and may pose an environmental risk for surrounding communities. Counties located on the Devonian shale with increased poverty, less income equality, smaller proportion of the population that is white, and increased population density are found to contain more wells, with the relationship reversed for counties off the shale. Results suggest that the new method provides improved model fit and is robust to the exclusion of an important spatially varying covariate, while also detecting boundaries surrounding different shale rock formations. The method is implemented in the R package KSBound.

空间统计环境经济学能源经济学贝叶斯非参数模型