Trends in Health in Midlife and Late Life
研究了1992至2016年间55-89岁人群的健康趋势，发现健康状况恶化且教育不平等加剧，预示未来死亡率改善可能放缓。
Gains in life expectancy have recently slowed and mortality inequalities have increased. This paper examines whether trends in health observed at ages 55 to 89 mirror those trends in mortality, which may serve as an early indicator for the future evolution of mortality. We found that many health outcomes have worsened from 1992 to 2016, especially at ages below 70, and that differentials in health between low and high education groups have increased among the more recent cohorts. Overall the findings cast a pessimistic light on the future evolution of mortality rates and mortality inequalities.