时代在变:动态逆向选择的实验研究

The Times They Are A-Changing: Experimenting with Dynamic Adverse Selection

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics · 2021
被引 8
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

研究动态匹配环境中逆向选择随时间缓慢累积的现象,发现多数参与者即使有经验也采用固定策略,只有少数能随时间调整接近最优反应。

Abstract

We examine a common value dynamic matching environment where adverse selection accrues slowly over time. Theoretical best responses are therefore time varying, and the prior experimental literature suggests that sequential environments might lead to greater understanding of adverse selection in this dynamic setting. However, while a sophisticated minority in our experiment do condition on time and are close to a best response, the majority use a stationary response, even after extended experience. In an environment with persistent uncertainty, our results indicate that sequentiality is insufficient for the large majority of participants to recognize the effects of adverse selection.

动态逆向选择序贯博弈实验经济学共同价值匹配