跨国失业保险、转移支付与国际风险分担中的权衡

Cross-country unemployment insurance, transfers, and trade-offs in international risk sharing

Journal of Monetary Economics · 2024
被引 1
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究了跨国转移机制如何改善消费风险分担和资源配置效率,并应用于欧洲失业保险计划(EUBS),发现该计划能稳定相对消费和失业差异,但可能因供给冲击导致效率损失,其福利效果取决于失业差异的成因。

Abstract

We assess to which degree an international transfer mechanism can enhance consumption risk sharing as well as allocative efficiency and apply our results to the implicit transfers generated by a potential European unemployment benefit scheme (EUBS). Specifically, we first develop a simple model with nominal rigidities to build intuition by deriving analytical results. We then use a rich DSGE model, calibrated to the Core and the Periphery of the euro area, to quantitatively analyze the changing dynamics that a EUBS brings about. We find that a EUBS can provide risk sharing by stabilizing relative consumption as well as unemployment differentials. Following supply shocks, however, the cross-country transfer embodied in the unemployment benefits is spent to a large degree on relatively inefficiently produced goods in the receiving countries. This renders the allocation even more inefficient by opening country-specific labor wedges further, also after government-spending shocks. Yet, since this trade-off between allocative efficiency and consumption risk sharing does not exist after certain demand shocks, the welfare effects of a EUBS depend on the cause for international unemployment differentials. A EUBS that is only active after specific shocks would therefore maximize overall welfare. Even without this feature, a EUBS would raise Core’s welfare in the quantitative model, leaving Periphery’s welfare almost unchanged.

跨国失业保险国际风险分担转移支付配置效率