行为报童模型的异质性、不对称性与适用性

Heterogeneity, asymmetry and applicability of behavioral newsvendor models

European Journal of Operational Research · 2021
被引 11
ABS 4

中文导读

研究了高利润和低利润产品环境下订购行为的异质性和不对称性,以及参考依赖报童模型和均值保持模型的适用性,为管理者调整行为参数以实现利润目标提供指导。

Abstract

In this paper we analyze heterogeneity and asymmetry of ordering behavior in high-profit and low-profit product settings as well as applicability of the reference dependent newsvendor model with different psychological costs of overordering and underordering. Further, we introduce a mean preserving newsvendor model by extending the overconfident newsvendor model to non-negative confidence parameters. For these models we provide simple and intuitive conditions on the operational and behavioral parameters that allow heterogeneity and asymmetry of ordering. We relate the psychological cost parameters of the reference dependent newsvendor model to the confidence parameters of the mean preserving model. Because of heterogeneity in ordering, the descriptive order quantities of an individual are not necessarily compatible with admissible behavioral parameter values of the model under consideration. Therefore, we use an endogenous approach to derive the behavioral parameter values from the descriptive order quantities, if possible. For the reference dependent newsvendor model, this approach enables us to derive constraints of the descriptive order quantities that guarantee admissible and realistic values of the psychological cost parameters. We give managerial interpretations of the analytical findings by a graphical illustration; the two behavioral models cover the whole area of plausible order quantity combinations for the low-profit and high-profit product. We discuss how an executive inventory manager could advice the newsvendor to adapt the behavioral parameters in order to achieve an expected profit target.

行为运营管理报童模型库存管理决策行为