Directions Old and New: Palaeomagnetism and Fisher (1953) Meet Modern Statistics
本文回顾了古地磁学中处理聚类球面数据的统计方法，提出了一个避免Fisher假设的新分层参数模型，并探索了基于聚类数据的置信区域构建方法，对地球物理学从业者尤其有用。
Summary Most modern articles in the palaeomagnetism literature are based on statistics developed by Fisher's 1953 paper ‘Dispersion on a sphere’, which assumes independent and identically distributed (iid) spherical data. However, palaeomagnetic sample designs are usually hierarchical, where specimens are collected within sites and the data are then combined across sites to calculate an overall mean direction for a geological formation. The specimens within sites are typically more similar than specimens between different sites, and so the iid assumptions fail. This article has three principal goals. The first is to review, contrast and compare both the statistics and geophysics literature on the topic of analysis methods for clustered data on spheres. The second is to present a new hierarchical parametric model, which avoids the unrealistic assumption of rotational symmetry in Fisher's 1953 paper ‘Dispersion on a sphere’ and may be broadly useful in the analysis of many palaeomagnetic datasets. To help develop the model, we use publicly available data as a case study collected from the Golan Heights volcanic plateau. The third goal is to explore different methods for constructing confidence regions for the overall mean direction based on clustered data. Two bootstrap confidence regions that we propose perform well and will be especially useful to geophysics practitioners.