异质性错误设定模型下的学习:刻画与稳健性

Learning With Heterogeneous Misspecified Models: Characterization and Robustness

Econometrica · 2021
被引 83
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

构建了一个通用框架,研究错误解读信息如何影响学习,给出了刻画长期信念的简单准则,适用于异质性模型并解释持续分歧,对研究偏见、过度反应等行为的经济学者有参考价值。

Abstract

This paper develops a general framework to study how misinterpreting information impacts learning. Our main result is a simple criterion to characterize long‐run beliefs based on the underlying form of misspecification. We present this characterization in the context of social learning, then highlight how it applies to other learning environments, including individual learning. A key contribution is that our characterization applies to settings with model heterogeneity and provides conditions for entrenched disagreement. Our characterization can be used to determine whether a representative agent approach is valid in the face of heterogeneity, study how differing levels of bias or unawareness of others' biases impact learning, and explore whether the impact of a bias is sensitive to parametric specification or the source of information. This unified framework synthesizes insights gleaned from previously studied forms of misspecification and provides novel insights in specific applications, as we demonstrate in settings with partisan bias, overreaction, naive learning, and level‐k reasoning.

模型误设社会学习长期信念异质性