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基于最优期望效用风险测度的投资组合优化

Portfolio optimization with optimal expected utility risk measures

Annals of Operations Research · 2021
被引 13
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了在风险约束下最大化期望收益的投资组合优化问题,比较了使用最优期望效用风险测度与风险价值作为约束的效果,发现前者能根据投资者风险态度和时间偏好进行个性化调整,且在实证中优于等权重和买入持有策略。

Abstract

Abstract The purpose of this article is to evaluate optimal expected utility risk measures (OEU) in a risk-constrained portfolio optimization context where the expected portfolio return is maximized. We compare the portfolio optimization with OEU constraint to a portfolio selection model using value at risk as constraint. The former is a coherent risk measure for utility functions with constant relative risk aversion and allows individual specifications to the investor’s risk attitude and time preference. In a case study with three indices, we investigate how these theoretical differences influence the performance of the portfolio selection strategies. A copula approach with univariate ARMA-GARCH models is used in a rolling forecast to simulate monthly future returns and calculate the derived measures for the optimization. The results of this study illustrate that both optimization strategies perform considerably better than an equally weighted portfolio and a buy and hold portfolio. Moreover, our results illustrate that portfolio optimization with OEU constraint experiences individualized effects, e.g., less risk-averse investors lose more portfolio value in the financial crises but outperform their more risk-averse counterparts in bull markets.

投资组合优化风险测度金融经济学计量经济学