大规模定制与“零部件采购规划问题”

Mass Customization and the “Parts-Procurement Planning Problem”

Management Science · 2021
被引 5
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究一家全球汽车制造商在大规模定制下面临的零部件采购规划问题,提出方法准确计算零部件需求范围并优化供应商分配,平均降低联合零部件范围29.87%。

Abstract

We study a new parts-procurement planning problem that is motivated by a global auto manufacturer (GAM) that practices mass customization. Because of the astronomically large number of producible configurations, forecasting their demand is impossible. Instead, firms forecast demand for options that constitute a vehicle. Requirements for many parts (up to 60%) are based on the combinations of options in a fully configured vehicle. The options’ forecast, however, does not map into a unique configuration-level forecast. As a result, the options’ forecast translates into ranges for many parts’ requirements. The combined ranges of a set of parts are not always equal to the sum of the component ranges; they may be less. Determining parts ranges is a large-scale NP-hard problem. Large ranges and inaccurate calculation of these ranges can result in excess inventories, shortages in inventories, and suboptimal flexibility levels. We model and analyze the problem of allocating parts to suppliers and accurately computing the ranges to minimize procurement costs arising because of ranges. The range costs are assumed to be convex increasing. We perform extensive numerical analysis using a large set of randomly generated instances as well as eight industrial instances received from GAM to establish the quality of our approximation framework. Our proposed approach significantly reduces the error in range estimates relative to current industry practice. In addition, the proposed approach for allocations of parts to suppliers reduces joint-parts ranges by an average of 29.87% relative to that of current practice. This paper was accepted by Jeannette Song, operations management.

大规模定制零部件采购规划需求预测范围成本