面向公平性的最优个体化治疗规则学习

Fairness-Oriented Learning for Optimal Individualized Treatment Rules

Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2021
被引 23
ABS 4

中文导读

针对标准最优个体化治疗规则可能对弱势亚群不利的问题,提出在最大化平均效果的同时保证尾部效果超过预设阈值的公平性导向框架,并开发了高效一阶算法。

Abstract

There has recently been a surge on the methodological development for optimal individualized treatment rule (ITR) estimation. The standard methods in the literature are designed to maximize the potential average performance (assuming larger outcomes are desirable). A notable drawback of the standard approach, due to heterogeneity in treatment response, is that the estimated optimal ITR may be suboptimal or even detrimental to certain disadvantaged subpopulations. Motivated by the importance of incorporating an appropriate fairness constraint in optimal decision making (e.g., assign treatment with protection to those with shorter survival time, or assign a job training program with protection to those with lower wages), we propose a new framework that aims to estimate an optimal ITR to maximize the average value with the guarantee that its tail performance exceeds a prespecified threshold. The optimal fairness-oriented ITR corresponds to a solution of a nonconvex optimization problem. To handle the computational challenge, we develop a new efficient first-order algorithm. We establish theoretical guarantees for the proposed estimator. Furthermore, we extend the proposed method to dynamic optimal ITRs. The advantages of the proposed approach over existing methods are demonstrated via extensive numerical studies and real data analysis.

个体化治疗规则公平性约束优化算法统计学习