From a Quantity to an Interest Rate‐Based Framework: Multiple Monetary Policy Instruments and Their Effects in China
用结构向量自回归模型研究中国多种货币政策工具的效果,发现基准贷款利率和短期利率冲击的影响大于存款准备金率冲击,且短期利率冲击对房价影响显著,表明利率型框架比数量型框架更有效。
Abstract This paper investigates the effects of various monetary policy instruments in China with the structural vector autoregression model. Empirical results are as follows. The effects of benchmark lending rate and short‐term interest rate shocks are larger than those of reserve requirement ratio shocks. Nonpolicy shocks exert substantial effects on intermediate targets under a quantity‐based policy framework. The size and effects of short‐term interest rate shocks in recent years are large. Short‐term interest rate shocks have strong effects on property prices. These results suggest that the new interest rate‐based policy framework is more effective than the previous quantity‐based policy framework.