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高斯随机场的近似参考先验

Approximate reference priors for Gaussian random fields

Scandinavian Journal of Statistics · 2022
被引 1
ABS 3

中文导读

提出一类近似参考先验,用于高斯随机场参数分析,通过谱近似简化计算,保留贝叶斯和频率学派优良性质,并确保相关参数边际先验始终正常,有助于协方差模型选择。

Abstract

Abstract Reference priors are theoretically attractive for the analysis of geostatistical data since they enable automatic Bayesian analysis and have desirable Bayesian and frequentist properties. But their use is hindered by computational hurdles that make their application in practice challenging. In this work, we derive a new class of default priors that approximate reference priors for the parameters of some Gaussian random fields. It is based on an approximation to the integrated likelihood of the covariance parameters derived from the spectral approximation of stationary random fields. This prior depends on the structure of the mean function and the spectral density of the model evaluated at a set of spectral points associated with an auxiliary regular grid. In addition to preserving the desirable Bayesian and frequentist properties, these approximate reference priors are more stable, and their computations are much less onerous than those of exact reference priors. Unlike exact reference priors, the marginal approximate reference prior of correlation parameter is always proper, regardless of the mean function or the smoothness of the correlation function. This property has important consequences for covariance model selection. An illustration comparing default Bayesian analyses is provided with a dataset of lead pollution in Galicia, Spain.

贝叶斯统计地统计学高斯随机场先验分布