波动率风险传导

Volatility Risk Pass-Through

Review of Financial Studies · 2021
被引 13
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

提出波动率传导的新度量,研究产出波动冲击如何影响宏观经济、股票和汇率,发现消费波动传导率平均50%,股票波动传导率约90%,并揭示风险分担的新渠道。

Abstract

Abstract We develop a novel measure of volatility pass-through to assess international propagation of output volatility shocks to macroeconomic aggregates, equity prices, and currencies. An increase in country’s output volatility is associated with a decrease in its output, consumption, and net exports. The average consumption pass-through is 50% (a 1% increase in output volatility increases consumption volatility by 0.5%) and it increases to 70% for shocks originating in smaller countries. The equity volatility pass-through is larger and in the order of 90%. A novel channel of risk sharing of volatility risks can explain our empirical findings.

产出波动溢出消费波动传递权益波动传递风险分担渠道