The Influence of Projected Outcomes on Preferences over Alternative Regulations: Evidence from a Recreational Fishery
研究了在陈述偏好调查中，提供政策预期结果如何影响受访者的选择，发现不提供结果时人们更倾向维持现状和低成本选项，这可能导致效用分散。
The expected outcomes arising from alternative policies on respondent choice have not been sufficiently accounted for in stated preference studies. We accordingly develop a framework to quantitatively assess the influence of outcome provision and illustrate with a choice experiment in a recreational fishery. The application suggests that participants are more likely to choose status quo and low-cost options when outcomes are not provided, and these conservative behaviors might reflect the higher dispersion in anglers’ utility in Tautog fishing. Further investigations with latent class models suggest that the outcome provision makes a significant share of respondents change their choice pattern.