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双重动量:检验双重动量策略及其对终身资产配置的启示

Dual Momentum: Testing the Dual Momentum Strategy and Implications for Lifetime Allocations

The Journal of Portfolio Management · 2022
被引 5
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究发现双重动量策略在历史模拟中优于基准,但统计显著性不强;蒙特卡洛模拟表现较弱。该策略可叠加到传统目标日期基金中,以捕捉时变股权风险溢价并提供下行保护。

Abstract

This article finds that the dual momentum strategy at the asset allocation level outperforms the benchmark for a historical simulation, with the limitation that the statistical significance of outperformance is not strong in all formation periods. However, this strategy in the Monte Carlo simulation delivers weaker performance than the historical simulation. The dual momentum strategy can be overlaid to traditional target date funds because it can capture the time-varying nature of the equity risk premium and secure downside protection.

资产配置动量策略金融经济学蒙特卡洛模拟