On the heterogeneous link between public debt and economic growth
使用115个国家1995-2016年的面板数据,通过分组固定效应估计器内生分类,发现债务对增长的影响因国家而异,且受制度质量、生产性支出比例、债务水平和债务期限的影响。
We use panel data for 115 countries over the period 1995–2016 to model the heterogeneity of the debt-growth nexus along with the underlying factors that might explain it. The grouped fixed effect (GFE) estimator is used to endogenously classify countries into groups and a multinomial logit model is employed to explore the drivers of the detected heterogeneity. The GFE estimator classifies countries into five groups for which debt has different impacts on growth. According to our results, the likelihood of a strong impact is moderated by the quality of the institutions and the proportion of productive expenditure but intensified by the level of indebtedness and the maturity of the debt.