Local sufficiency
针对非贝叶斯推断中p维统计量X不构成充分简化的情况,证明了存在二阶局部充分统计量S,其唯一且易于计算,基于S的置信限具有理想的条件覆盖概率。
SUMMARY Non-Bayesian inference is considered for a scalar parameter θ based on a p-dimensional statisticXwhich need not constitute a sufficient reduction of the original data. It is shown that there exists a (p−1)-dimensional statistic A that is jointly second-order locally ancillary for θ near θ0 but that, for p > 2, A is not unique even up to nonsingular transformations. To avoid any ambiguity in the resulting inferences, we show that there exists a statistic S, to be called second-order locally sufficient, that is, to second order, independent of any second-order locally ancillary statisticA. Furthermore, S is unique up to a nonsingular transformation, is easily computed from the log likelihood ratio statistic, has a simple distribution and avoids the perplexing problem of specifying the appropriate conditioning statistic. Confidence limits based on S have the desired coverage probability conditionally on any A, and therefore unconditionally, with error O(n−1) in each tail. Finally, for vector-valued θ, we give a rather general proof of Barndorff-Nielsen's (1980) formula for the conditional distribution of θ.