Cow's milk still leads in the United States: The case of cow's, almond, and soy milk
研究了杏仁奶和豆奶等植物奶对牛奶零售价格的影响,发现植物奶价格会响应牛奶价格变化,但牛奶价格不受植物奶价格影响,这对美国农业部乳制品利润率覆盖计划和联邦牛奶营销订单有启示。
Abstract While cow's milk and plant‐based milk are often hypothesized to be substitutes, much remains unknown about the impacts that plant‐based milks have on the retail price for cow's milk, if any. We explore the individual retail price relationship between two plant‐based milks, almond and soy, with cow's milk. If the markets are cointegrated, and shocks in the plant‐based markets affect the cow's milk market, it can add volatility to cow's milk prices, which could have implications for costs and benefits of the USDA Dairy Margin Coverage Program and price calculations by the Federal Milk Marketing Orders (FMMO). However, while we find evidence that plant‐based milk prices react to shocks in cow's milk prices, we do not find evidence that cow's milk prices respond to changes in plant‐based milk prices.