道路容量、国内贸易与区域经济结果

Road capacity, domestic trade and regional outcomes

Journal of Economic Geography · 2021
被引 25
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究了土耳其2000年代大规模道路升级对国内贸易和区域经济的影响,发现减少旅行时间显著促进贸易、制造业就业和工资,长期实际收入增长2-3%。

Abstract

Abstract What is the impact on intra-national trade and regional economic outcomes when the quality and lane-capacity of an existing paved road network is expanded significantly? We investigate this question for the case of Turkey, which undertook a large-scale public investment in roads during the 2000s. Using spatially disaggregated data on road upgrades and domestic transactions, we estimate a large positive impact of reduced travel times on trade as well as local manufacturing employment and wages. A quantitative exercise using a workhorse model of spatial equilibrium implies heterogeneous effects across locations, with aggregate real income gains reaching 2–3% in the long-run. Reductions in travel times increased local employment-to-population ratio but had no effect on local population. We extend the model by endogenizing the labor supply decision to capture this finding. The model-implied elasticity of employment rates to travel time reductions captures about one-third of the empirical elasticity.

道路扩容国内贸易区域经济土耳其