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工资粘性重要吗?来自匹配的企业调查与登记数据的新证据

Do Sticky Wages Matter? New Evidence from Matched Firm Survey and Register Data

Economica · 2022
被引 10
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

利用瑞士员工合同工资与社保登记数据的匹配,研究通缩性货币政策冲击后名义工资向下刚性对收入和失业的因果影响,发现局部地区工资冻结导致收入下降4.4%、失业概率上升0.7个百分点。

Abstract

We study the causal effects of downward nominal wage rigidity after a deflationary monetary policy shock using Swiss data on employee‐level contractual wages matched with income and employment from social security register data. We exploit the discontinuity around the origin of the wage growth distribution to compare the outcomes of individuals with wage freezes (treatment group) and small wage cuts (control group) before and after an unexpected decision by the Swiss National Bank leading to a 1% decline of the price level. Locally (that is, near the origin of the wage growth distribution), downward nominal wage rigidities cause a 4.4% decline in income and a 0.7 percentage point increase in the probability of unemployment. In the aggregate, income declines by 0.3% and the probability of unemployment increases by 0.05 percentage points.

劳动经济学宏观经济学货币政策工资刚性失业