失业与工资分布的动态研究

On the Dynamics of Unemployment and Wage Distributions

Econometrica · 2011
被引 77
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

扩展了Postel-Vinay和Robin的序贯拍卖模型,引入总生产率冲击,通过内生岗位破坏和工人异质性放大生产率冲击,解释失业波动之谜,并揭示工资分布的周期动态。

Abstract

Postel-Vinay and Robin’s (2002) sequential auction model is extended to allow for aggregate productivity shocks. Workers exhibit permanent differences in ability while firms are identical. Negative aggregate productivity shocks induce job destruction by driving the surplus of matches with low ability workers to negative values. Endogenous job destruction coupled with worker heterogeneity thus provides a mechanism for amplifying productivity shocks that offers an original solution to the unemployment volatility puzzle (Shimer, 2005). Moreover, positive or negative shocks may lead employers and employees to renegotiate low wages up and high wages down when agents’ individual surpluses become negative. The model delivers rich business cycle dynamics of wage distributions and explains why both low wages and high wages are more procyclical than wages in the middle of the distribution and why wage inequality may be countercyclical, as the data seem to suggest is true.

失业波动工资分布商业周期工人异质性