Throwing caution to the wind: How hurricanes affect COVID‐19 spread
利用飓风劳拉的路径,研究其如何影响COVID-19传播,发现热带风暴影响县的周均日新增病例上升超12%,机制与社交距离受限有关,对政策制定者设计自然灾害应对方案有参考价值。
This study exploits the pathway of Hurricane Laura to assess its impact on the spread of COVID-19. Using US hospital data on confirmed and suspected adult COVID-19 cases, we find average daily cases per week rose by more than 12% primarily in tropical storm-affected counties in subsequent weeks. We suspect the key mechanisms involve constraints on social distancing for two reasons. First, there is significant evidence of storm-induced mobility. Second, lower income areas endured higher growth in hospital cases during the post-hurricane period. These findings provide crucial insights for policy-makers when designing natural disaster protocols to adjust for potential respiratory viral illnesses.