模型不确定性下的动态定价

On dynamic pricing under model uncertainty

Naval Research Logistics · 2022
被引 4
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了一个厌恶模糊性的决策者在面临需求概率不确定时,如何通过随机博弈框架制定鲁棒动态定价策略,并推导出最优定价和价值函数。

Abstract

Abstract We formulate and solve a robust dynamic pricing problem for an ambiguity‐averse agent who faces an uncertain probabilistic law governing the realized demand for a single product. Specifically, the pricing problem is framed as a stochastic game that involves a maximizing player (the “agent”) and a minimizing player (“nature”) who promotes robustness by distorting the agent's beliefs within prescribed limits. Our methodology builds on the commonly used entropic approach in the literature but can be utilized to generate a much more versatile class of uncertainty sets. We derive the optimal pricing strategy and the corresponding value function by applying stochastic dynamic programming and solving a version of the Bellman–Isaacs equation. The usefulness of our framework is illustrated by two special cases. Finally, a carefully designed numerical example exposes the value of model robustness.

动态定价模型不确定性鲁棒优化随机博弈