Interbank contagion risk in China under an ABM approach for network formation
使用基于主体的模型构建中国银行间网络,分析2014-2019年299家商业银行的系统性风险,发现低层级银行风险较高,且银行脆弱性与借贷比率和金融连接度正相关。
Abstract This paper uses an agent‐based model to construct an interbank network for the Chinese interbank market using a sample of 299 commercial banks from 2014 to 2019. We analyze the importance and vulnerability of banks using the DebtRank algorithm. Our results show that the Chinese interbank market bears a certain level of systemic risk, especially among lower‐tiered banks. The results also show a bank is more vulnerable if it has a higher interbank lending ratio and greater financial connectivity. Meanwhile, a bank is more influential if it has a larger net worth and greater financial connectivity.