Recessions, Mortality, and Migration Bias: Evidence from the Lancashire Cotton Famine
研究了美国内战引发的兰开夏棉花饥荒这一经济衰退对英国棉纺织业工人死亡率的影响，发现衰退增加了该行业家庭死亡率，并对当地非贸易服务部门产生溢出效应。
We examine the health effects of the Lancashire Cotton Famine, a sharp downturn in Britain's cotton textile manufacturing regions that was induced by the US Civil War. Migration was an important response to this downturn, but as we document, migration also introduces a number of empirical challenges, which we overcome by introducing a new methodological approach. Our results indicate that the recession increased mortality among households employed in the cotton textile industry. We also document localized spillover effects on households providing nontradable services in the areas affected by the recession.