部门异质性与货币政策

Sectoral Heterogeneity and Monetary Policy

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics · 2022
被引 11
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究了部门对利率敏感度不同导致货币政策产生低效波动的问题,提出按利率弹性加权部门、考虑耐用品动态需求并利用前瞻指引减少波动的政策建议,校准模型显示忽视部门波动会造成显著福利损失。

Abstract

Since sectors differ in their sensitivity to interest rates, monetary policy produces inefficient sectoral fluctuations. In a model with sectoral heterogeneity, I show that policymakers should weight sectors proportionally to their interest elasticities, account for dynamic demand effects from durable goods, and systematically utilize forward guidance to reduce sectoral volatility. A calibrated model confirms these recommendations and finds that neglecting sectoral volatility produces substantial welfare losses. The best-performing policy rule stabilizes a sectorally weighted measure of inflation, plus lags of past durable inflation.

部门异质性货币政策利率弹性前瞻指引