地方性流行病的疫苗最优补贴

Optimal vaccine subsidies for endemic diseases

International Journal of Industrial Organization · 2022
被引 17
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了地方性流行病(如HIV)疫苗的最优补贴政策,发现中等传染性疾病因搭便车效应需要最高补贴,而高传染性疾病因消费者主动接种而补贴需求较低;当供应商有市场势力时,最优补贴可能极高,这解释了政府集中采购等替代政策的合理性。

Abstract

In Goodkin-Gold et al. (2021), we analyzed optimal subsidies for a vaccine against an epidemic outbreak like Covid-19. This companion paper alters the underlying epidemiological model to suit endemic diseases requiring continuous vaccination of new cohorts-also suiting an epidemic like Covid-19 if, following Gans (2020), one assumes peaks are leveled by social distancing. We obtain qualitatively similar results: across market structures ranging from perfect competition to monopoly, the subsidy needed to induce first-best vaccination coverage on the private market is highest for moderately infectious diseases, which invite the most free riding; extremely infectious diseases drive more consumers to become vaccinated, attenuating externalities. Stylized calibrations to HIV, among other diseases, suggest that first-best subsidies can be exorbitantly high when suppliers have market power, rationalizing alternative policies observed in practice such as bulk purchases negotiated by the government on behalf of the consumers.

疫苗补贴地方病市场结构搭便车