检验外生变量与未观测误差之间的独立性

Testing independence between exogenous variables and unobserved errors

Econometric Reviews · 2022
被引 3
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

提出一套统一方法,检验计量模型中误差项与外生变量的独立性假设,适用于含内生性和工具变量的参数模型,并通过线性回归、工具变量回归和非线性分位数回归等例子验证其有效性。

Abstract

Although the exogeneity condition is usually used in many econometric models to identify parameters, the stronger restriction that the error term is independent of a vector of exogenous variables might lead to theoretical benefits. In this paper, we develop a unified methodology for testing the independence assumption. Our methodology can deal with a wide class of parametric models and allows for endogeneity and instrumental variables. In the first-step development, we construct tests that are continuous functionals of the estimated difference of the joint distribution and the product marginal distributions. Next, to remedy the dimensionality issue that arises when the dimension of the exogenous random vector is large, we propose a multiple testing approach which combines marginal p-values obtained by employing the original tests to test independence between the error term and each exogenous variable, while taking full account of the multiplicity nature of the testing problem. We obtain null limiting distributions of our tests, establish the testing consistency, and justify the sensitivity to n−1/2-local alternatives, with n the sample size. The multiplier bootstrap is employed to estimate the critical values. Our methodology is illustrated in the linear regression, the instrumental variables regression, and the nonlinear quantile regression. Our tests are found to perform well in simulations and are demonstrated via an empirical example.

外生性检验误差项独立性联合分布检验多重检验