固定T时具有随机交互效应和多个结构断点的面板数据模型的估计

Estimation of Panel Data Models with Random Interactive Effects and Multiple Structural Breaks when T is Fixed

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2022
被引 12
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一种适用于时间期数固定、截面个体数大的面板数据模型估计方法,利用Lasso方法同时估计回归系数、断点数量和位置,并证明其一致性和渐近正态性。

Abstract

In this article, we propose a new estimator of panel data models with random interactive effects and multiple structural breaks that is suitable when the number of time periods, T, is fixed and only the number of cross-sectional units, N, is large. This is done by viewing the determination of the breaks as a shrinkage problem, and to estimate both the regression coefficients, and the number of breaks and their locations by applying a version of the Lasso approach. We show that with probability approaching one the approach can correctly determine the number of breaks and the dates of these breaks, and that the estimator of the regime-specific regression coefficients is consistent and asymptotically normal. We also provide Monte Carlo results suggesting that the approach performs very well in small samples, and empirical results suggesting that while the coefficients of the controls are breaking, the coefficients of the main deterrence regressors in a model of crime are not.

面板数据模型随机交互效应多重结构断点Lasso估计