基于案例推理的动态选择建模

Case-Based Reasoning and Dynamic Choice Modeling

Land Economics · 2022
被引 3
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

用非线性案例推理方法模拟决策者的认知过程,通过比较过去与当前问题的相似性形成预期,并以康涅狄格州休闲渔民的地点选择为例验证模型有效性。

Abstract

Estimating discrete choices under uncertainty typically rely on assumptions of expected utility theory. We build on the dynamic choice modeling literature by using a nonlinear case-based reasoning approach based on cognitive processes and forms expectations by comparing the similarity between past problems and the current problem faced by a decision maker. This study provides a proof of concept of a behavioral model of location choice applied to recreational fishers’ location choice behavior in Connecticut. We find the case-based decision model does well in explaining the observed data and provides value in explaining the dynamic value of attributes.

案例推理动态选择模型位置选择认知过程