Rainfall shocks, child mortality, and water infrastructure
研究全球发展中国家降雨冲击对儿童死亡率的影响,发现负面降雨冲击增加儿童死亡,而水利基础设施(如下游水坝)可缓解这一影响,尤其在低收入国家。
I study the effect of rainfall shocks on child mortality at a sub-national level for a global set of developing countries. I establish that negative (positive) shocks to rainfall lead to an increase (drop) in child deaths overall. Low-income countries (LICs) and the group of countries reliant on agriculture are affected the most due to negative rainfall shocks. In LICs, the impact of negative rainfall shocks is mitigated by around 60% in districts located downstream to dams, an effect predominant among less affluent districts; in addition, the effect of rainfall fluctuations is persistent, lasting for up to three years following the shock. Results remain robust to the inclusion of relevant controls, to the consideration of relevant issues such as selective fertility and migration, and various other robustness tests.