数据融合下的高效估计

Efficient estimation under data fusion

Biometrika · 2023
被引 19 · 同刊同年前 8%
ABS 4

中文导读

研究如何融合多个数据源来估计一个平滑的有限维参数,提出能降低半参数效率边界的估计方法,并通过模拟和HIV疫苗试验展示效率提升。

Abstract

We aim to make inferences about a smooth, finite-dimensional parameter by fusing data from multiple sources together. Previous works have studied the estimation of a variety of parameters in similar data fusion settings, including in the estimation of the average treatment effect and average reward under a policy, with the majority of them merging one historical data source with covariates, actions, and rewards and one data source of the same covariates. In this work, we consider the general case where one or more data sources align with each part of the distribution of the target population, for example, the conditional distribution of the reward given actions and covariates. We describe potential gains in efficiency that can arise from fusing these data sources together in a single analysis, which we characterize by a reduction in the semiparametric efficiency bound. We also provide a general means to construct estimators that achieve these bounds. In numerical simulations, we illustrate marked improvements in efficiency from using our proposed estimators rather than their natural alternatives. Finally, we illustrate the magnitude of efficiency gains that can be realized in vaccine immunogenicity studies by fusing data from two HIV vaccine trials.

计量经济学统计学机器学习因果推断